ON THE FUTURE OF WARFARE


The latest in a long line of technologies being developed for modern wars are laser weapons. The Americans began to plan for such technologies over 50 years ago, but conducted their first successful tests in 2009, even though the platform was so large that it needed

a Boeing 747 aircraft to carry it. But despite USD 5 billion of investment, they cancelled the laser program in 2011. However, the US army has now announced after breakthroughs, that a 50 Kw laser weapon, mounted atop the Stryker armoured vehicle, could be put in use by 2022, against threats from air.

This news comes after announcements by the Russians that they now have hypersonic gliders that could fly for long, taking a circuitous route; hence their targets would be hard to detect and can avoid missile defences.

Such hypersonic gliders have been tested since 1928 when German engineers had tested if the V-2 could also glide. German advances in rocket technology, it is said, were stolen by America and Russia, after World War II, who began testing hypersonic gliding in the 1950s. This was refined in their space race.

The US has today set aside USD 2.6 billion in its 2020 defence budget for hypersonic weapons to induct wedge- shaped gliders and even smaller, tactical systems of cheaper rockets to be launched from ships and aircraft. This is all a product of major research that was undertaken over the past decade in fluid dynamics, new materials (in the body of these objects) and their electronics cum guidance systems.

Even though much of the American nuclear arsenal is based on ICBM systems, their accuracy is around 120 m of ‘circular error of probability’. This is fine with nuclear bombs, but not quite for targeting ships or other specific objects like a house—with terrorists within. But with HGV (hypersonic gliding vehicles), things could be different.

And they could circumnavigate the globe—they’ll have a greater range than ICBMs, which fly straight from one point to another—and hit targets that even ICBMs are intended to, but without causing alarm that the US ICBM will cause to Russia or China, while it flies over either country. Moreover, gliders with longer ranges than ICBMs, needn’t be nuclear-tipped.

All this will, however, require even greater dependence on technology that would be semi-autonomous, as decisions would have to be made in double-quick time. And though the UN’s disarmament office suggests that the countries involved in this new arms race—the US, Russia and China, primarily—should exchange details of their ‘star wars’ tests, but none are keen to do so. Instead, their rivalries are on the rise and so is the race to induct more new technologies in their armouries.

Ironically however, such new technologies could be useful in the psychological wars the big military powers play, but when it comes to the crunch in winning a war on the ground, the US has learnt once again in Afghanistan, as it learnt in Iraq and Syria, that technology per se, cannot help you win a war.

Blowing up your targets, which often lead to scores of innocent civilian casualties, maybe good for the optics as television screens flash those pictures, but those very televisions will not kind to big military power in retreat, as the US pulls back its troops from Afghanistan after a fruitless campaign of 19 years or more. The essential point is that ‘star wars’ technologies are as good for your military reputation as is the basic man-machine mix to win wars of the future.

For more details on Maroof Raza, visit:https://www.maroofraza.com.

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Maroof Raza

Maroof Raza is currently the Consultant cum Strategic Affairs Expert for Times Now; a leading Indian English language Television channel and editor at Salute Magazine; on which, apart from his appearances on news debates, he anchors a weekend TV show on World Affairs “Latitude”. He writes a fortnightly column on timesnownews.com and also a monthly column for Fauji India. He had earlier also anchored and presented a 26 part series on the Indian armed forces, titled ‘Line of Duty’. An episode from this series, on the Siachen Glacier won an Award in the military documentary section at the Film Festival in Rome in 2005. This TV series has entered the “Limca Book of Records” as India’s first military reality show. Maroof Raza currently writes a column for ‘Salute India’ a monthly magazine for India’s armed forces, and has written editorials for all the leading newspapers of India, and has lectured extensively in India and abroad on India’s security concerns. He has also authored several articles, essays and books.

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